Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.6%Central Connecticut

82.4%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -468

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 65

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreMerrimack 74

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricMerrimack

44.4MMH Power Index53.7

111.4Offensive Efficiency106.4

107.0Defensive Efficiency103.2

4.4Net Efficiency3.2

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.7

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

66.3Tempo64.4

54.0%Effective FG%49.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.9Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–44.4), defensive efficiency (103.2–107.0), strength of schedule (0.7–-7.7), recent form (12.9–-0.5).

Central Connecticut COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.4–106.4), net efficiency (4.4–3.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.3).

Final

Central Connecticut

68—71

Merrimack

Merrimack by 3 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATMerrimack

26-54FG25-44

48.0%FG%57.0%

5-193PT10-21

26.0%3PT%48.0%

11-15FT11-19

73.0%FT%58.0%

31Rebounds22

11Offensive Rebounds3

14Assists18

16Turnovers16

11Steals11

3Blocks4

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Breland	Guard	36	5-10	2-5	2-2	9	1	2	0	14
Jordan Jones	Guard	36	3-11	1-5	4-4	3	7	4	0	11
Kellen Amos	Guard	33	4-8	2-6	0-2	5	1	3	1	10
Jayden Brown	Forward	30	5-8	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	0	10
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	25	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	2	0	0
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	38	9-11	1-2	3-6	4	6	2	0	22
Devon Savage	Guard	28	5-11	5-11	0-0	4	0	0	0	15
Jordan McKoy	Guard	24	3-6	3-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	11
Adam Clark	G	32	3-6	1-1	3-4	4	3	4	0	10
Bryan Etumnu	F	28	3-6	0-0	2-4	2	2	1	2	8
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	2	4
Samba Diallo	Forward	27	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	2	1	0	1
Jaylen Stinson	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

102.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency102.9

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

52.8%Effective FG%68.2%

55.6%True Shooting %66.9%

24.2%Turnover Rate24.2%

27.8%Free Throw Rate43.2%

35.2%3-Point Rate47.7%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.