App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%App State

48.5%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -106

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 75

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 75

Team Comparison

App StateMetricGeorgia Southern

54.2MMH Power Index49.1

110.9Offensive Efficiency112.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.6

9.2Net Efficiency1.7

-4.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

64.9Tempo72.0

51.1%Effective FG%52.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.5%

6.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.6), net efficiency (9.2–1.7), recent form (7.0–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

App State

85—84

Georgia Southern

App State by 1 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

34-71FG36-68

48.0%FG%53.0%

8-183PT10-24

44.0%3PT%42.0%

9-16FT2-6

56.0%FT%33.0%

42Rebounds34

18Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists16

13Turnovers13

4Steals8

6Blocks5

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	29	10-17	5-8	1-2	3	0	0	0	26
Justin Abson	F	39	9-13	0-0	2-2	8	2	0	4	20
Donovan Gregory	Forward	35	3-10	0-0	5-6	3	3	1	1	11
Tre'Von Spillers	F	39	5-7	0-0	0-0	11	0	2	0	10
Myles Tate	Guard	28	4-12	2-4	0-0	2	5	1	0	10
Xavion Brown	Guard	22	1-3	0-0	1-5	3	3	0	0	3
Christopher Mantis	Forward	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
CJ Huntley	Forward	12	1-3	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Jordan Marsh	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	38	11-16	2-4	0-1	4	4	0	1	24
Avantae Parker	F	36	9-13	1-1	0-1	9	1	4	1	19
Eugene Brown III	Forward	34	7-9	3-4	1-2	5	0	1	2	18
Jamar Franklin	G	14	3-4	1-1	0-1	3	0	0	0	7
Cam Bryant	Forward	28	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Nate Brafford	F	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Malik Tidwell	Guard	15	1-5	0-3	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Derrick Harris Jr.	Guard	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Eren Banks	G	24	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	3	2	0	0
Collin Kuhl	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency116.0

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

53.5%Effective FG%60.3%

54.1%True Shooting %59.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

22.5%Free Throw Rate8.8%

25.4%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

App State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.