UL Monroe

4-28

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%UL Monroe

97.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -24.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -3348

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 69

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 93

Team Comparison

UL MonroeMetricArkansas State

30.9MMH Power Index57.7

101.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency105.3

-16.0Net Efficiency7.8

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.7Tempo73.3

48.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate19.4%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

40.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-11.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

UL Monroe

80—95

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 15 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UL MonroeTEAM STATArkansas State

29-55FG30-50

53.0%FG%60.0%

6-83PT12-22

75.0%3PT%55.0%

16-23FT23-28

70.0%FT%82.0%

23Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists19

12Turnovers15

9Steals5

1Blocks6

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nika Metskhvarishvili	Forward	32	8-12	3-3	1-3	3	1	0	0	20
Tyreese Watson	G	32	6-10	1-1	6-9	1	2	3	0	19
Tyreke Locure	Guard	20	4-7	2-2	1-1	2	3	2	0	11
Jalen Bolden	G	24	2-4	0-1	5-6	4	0	1	0	9
Jerry Ngopot	F	22	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Makai Willis	C	27	2-9	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	1	5
Savion Gallion	Guard	23	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Jacob Wilson	G	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
P.D. McCraney	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Fields	Guard	33	7-13	1-3	7-9	1	13	1	0	22
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	6-8	0-0	4-4	10	0	1	4	16
Zane Butler	Guard	16	4-5	3-3	5-5	0	1	0	0	16
Julian Lual	Guard	19	5-6	4-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Taryn Todd	Guard	29	4-5	3-4	0-0	6	1	2	1	11
Derrian Ford	G	25	2-4	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	0	8
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	23	1-4	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Avery Felts	Guard	14	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	1	1
Lado Laku	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency131.8

131.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

58.2%Effective FG%72.0%

60.7%True Shooting %75.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate20.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate56.0%

14.5%3-Point Rate44.0%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.