Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.6%Elon

52.4%North Carolina A&T

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina A&T -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina A&T -110

North Carolina A&T

11-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 78

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina A&T 79

Team Comparison

ElonMetricNorth Carolina A&T

45.5MMH Power Index41.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.4

112.7Defensive Efficiency111.4

0.3Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.2

69.1Tempo69.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate46.7%

0.3Average Margin-2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–41.8), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-4.0), strength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5).

North Carolina A&T COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.4–112.7), recent form (-11.2–-13.7), free throw rate (46.7–34.0).

Final

Elon

69—65

North Carolina A&T

Elon by 4 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATNorth Carolina A&T

23-47FG23-59

49.0%FG%39.0%

9-203PT9-26

45.0%3PT%35.0%

14-20FT10-13

70.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists16

12Turnovers10

8Steals3

—Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zac Ervin	Guard	18	4-4	4-4	0-0	3	0	0	12
Sam Sherry	Forward	30	4-8	0-1	2-4	3	3	2	10
Max Mackinnon	G	30	3-9	2-5	2-4	3	4	1	10
Takai Simpkins	G	27	2-8	0-3	4-4	4	2	3	8
Rob Higgins	Guard	26	3-6	0-1	2-3	3	3	1	8
LA Pratt	G	18	3-5	1-2	1-2	0	3	1	8
Nick Dorn	G	16	2-4	1-3	3-3	3	0	0	8
Isaac Harrell	F	26	2-2	1-1	0-0	8	0	0	5
Deandre Smart	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

North Carolina A&T

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalal McKie	G	40	9-21	5-13	0-0	3	0	0	0	23
Camian Shell	G	36	7-13	3-5	5-5	5	7	1	0	22
Kyle Duke	G	36	1-4	0-1	4-4	6	4	0	0	6
Nikos Chitikoudis	F	31	3-6	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	1	6
Jason Murphy	Center	17	2-5	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	0	5
Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes	G	28	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Evan Joyner	Forward	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency108.8

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

58.5%Effective FG%46.6%

61.1%True Shooting %49.9%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

42.6%Free Throw Rate22.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Elon won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.