Air Force logo

Air Force

3-29
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
1.0%Air Force
99.0%Boise State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADBoise State -30.7
PROJECTED TOTAL147.6
MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -9900
Boise State logo

Boise State

20-12
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreAir Force 58
Projected Total147.6
Projected ScoreBoise State 89

Team Comparison

23MMH Power Index59.5
91.3Offensive Efficiency113.9
118.5Defensive Efficiency107.1
-27.2Net Efficiency6.8
6.2Strength of Schedule4.2
-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2
67.4Tempo68.6
49.0%Effective FG%52.7%
21.9%Turnover Rate17.0%
21.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%
35.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%
-18.3Average Margin4.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-27.2).
Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–4.2).
Final
Air Force logo
Air Force
56—94
Boise State logo
Boise State
Boise State by 38 • 58.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATBoise State
18-52FG30-50
35.0%FG%60.0%
10-313PT15-27
32.0%3PT%56.0%
10-11FT19-22
91.0%FT%86.0%
22Rebounds32
11Offensive Rebounds10
9Assists17
13Turnovers8
4Steals4
1Blocks3
17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Air Force
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jeffrey MillsGuard346-95-70-003000017
Beau BeckerForward295-123-80-013000013
Ethan TaylorGuard253-72-50-05100008
Byron BrownGuard212-40-14-44010008
Kellan BoylanF271-50-22-22110004
Rytis PetraitisF290-80-33-45100003
Kolby GillesF81-20-11-10020003
Chase BeasleyGuard140-20-10-01001000
Luke KearneyF80-30-30-00000000
Wesley CelichowskiC30-00-00-00000000
Brady RugglesGuard20-00-00-00000000
Boise State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Tyson DegenhartForward3411-122-35-662000029
O'Mar StanleyForward234-61-25-631120014
Chibuzo AgboGuard204-94-62-201010014
Max RiceGuard334-84-70-042200012
Roddie AndersonG193-43-41-231000010
Kobe YoungGuard151-20-14-42210006
Andrew MeadowF92-41-20-00000005
Cam MartinForward161-20-02-26700004
Jace WhitingG210-30-20-01100000
R.J. Keene IIG40-00-00-00000000
Mohamed SyllaCenter30-00-00-01000000
Kade RiceGuard30-00-00-01000000

Advanced Game Stats

58.9Possessions58.9
95.1Offensive Efficiency159.6
159.6Defensive Efficiency95.1
-64.5Net Efficiency64.5
44.2%Effective FG%75.0%
48.9%True Shooting %77.8%
22.0%Turnover Rate13.7%
21.2%Free Throw Rate44.0%
59.6%3-Point Rate54.0%
0.69Assist / Turnover2.13
Game Summary
Boise State won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 58.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.