Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Troy

23.4%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -327

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 79

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 72

Team Comparison

TroyMetricGeorgia State

54.1MMH Power Index38.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency101.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency107.5

8.7Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

70.4Tempo69.5

52.1%Effective FG%45.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.4%

6.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (8.7–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2), ball security (15.6–17.1), free throw rate (37.4–36.8).

Final

Troy

78—74

Georgia State

Troy by 4 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATGeorgia State

28-69FG26-63

41.0%FG%41.0%

5-233PT8-22

22.0%3PT%36.0%

17-23FT14-18

74.0%FT%78.0%

48Rebounds32

20Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

10Turnovers7

5Steals6

5Blocks6

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	35	9-18	0-2	2-2	6	3	2	0	20
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	25	5-8	2-2	3-5	6	2	0	1	15
Tayton Conerway	G	20	5-13	1-5	4-5	5	1	0	0	15
Christyon Eugene	Guard	29	4-14	0-5	5-6	2	1	1	0	13
Randarius Jones	C	15	3-5	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	1	7
Thomas Dowd	F	24	1-2	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	3
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Jackson Fields	F	25	0-4	0-2	2-2	7	1	1	3	2
Theo Seng	F	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Victor Valdes	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Taylor	Guard	32	8-14	4-5	2-2	3	2	1	2	22
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	31	5-11	3-8	2-4	3	2	2	1	15
Dwon Odom	Guard	31	5-8	0-0	2-2	7	5	1	0	12
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	28	4-9	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	1	10
Toneari Lane	G	36	2-10	1-6	2-3	2	0	1	1	7
Brenden Tucker	Guard	17	1-4	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	1	4
Ed Nnamoko	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	4
Julian Mackey	G	13	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

111.7Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.7

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

44.2%Effective FG%47.6%

48.8%True Shooting %51.7%

14.3%Turnover Rate10.1%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate34.9%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Troy won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.