Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Idaho State

37.9%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -164

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 76

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 75

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Arizona

45.9MMH Power Index36.9

111.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

113.4Defensive Efficiency114.8

-2.4Net Efficiency-7.7

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.8

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

67.1Tempo66.6

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-1.6Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Idaho State

81—79

Northern Arizona

Idaho State by 2 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

28-59FG26-56

47.0%FG%46.0%

6-163PT5-13

38.0%3PT%38.0%

19-28FT22-29

68.0%FT%76.0%

41Rebounds27

16Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists13

10Turnovers8

7Steals3

1Blocks3

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kiree Huie	F	23	9-14	0-0	2-4	5	0	1	1	20
Brayden Parker	Center	29	5-13	2-4	7-9	7	1	0	0	19
Miguel Tomley	Guard	34	6-13	4-8	2-2	5	0	2	0	18
Isaiah Griffin	F	32	3-5	0-0	3-4	5	3	0	0	9
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	26	2-5	0-0	4-7	9	2	2	0	8
Maleek Arington	G	32	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	8	1	0	5
AJ Burgin	Guard	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Trent Johnson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jordan Hansen	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oakland Fort	G	40	7-13	3-4	3-4	4	4	1	0	20
Jayden Jackson	G	39	6-12	1-1	4-7	7	5	0	0	17
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	36	4-8	1-3	8-9	4	2	1	0	17
Carson Basham	Forward	22	6-10	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	2	17
Diego Campisano	F	26	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	1	3
Tichyque Musaka	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
C.J. Ford	Guard	16	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

118.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency118.9

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

52.5%Effective FG%50.9%

56.0%True Shooting %56.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate11.5%

47.5%Free Throw Rate51.8%

27.1%3-Point Rate23.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.