East Texas A&M

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%East Texas A&M

69.7%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -230

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 67

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 73

Team Comparison

East Texas A&MMetricNorthwestern State

38.4MMH Power Index41.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.0

-6.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

-9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.3Tempo63.6

50.7%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

31.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-4.3Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

East Texas A&M

57—70

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 13 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Texas A&MTEAM STATNorthwestern State

21-61FG25-52

34.0%FG%48.0%

4-253PT3-8

16.0%3PT%38.0%

11-18FT17-24

61.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists12

11Turnovers11

4Steals7

4Blocks4

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kwo Agwa	F	28	6-10	1-3	2-4	9	0	0	1	15
Kalen Williams	Guard	37	4-12	0-2	4-6	4	3	0	0	12
Zondrick Garrett	Forward	18	4-6	0-2	2-3	6	1	1	0	10
Ant Abraham	Guard	25	3-9	0-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	8
Tommie Lewis	Guard	30	2-9	1-6	1-1	3	2	2	2	6
Alonzo Dodd	G	22	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Evan Phelps	G	18	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
James Weathers	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
VJ Reeves Jr.	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KC Ugwuakazi	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Rob Banks	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Taylor	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Wilson	Forward	23	6-11	0-0	5-8	8	1	1	2	17
Chase Forte	G	35	6-12	0-2	3-6	6	5	3	0	15
Cliff Davis	G	36	4-10	2-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	10
Braelon Bush	G	28	1-5	0-0	6-6	3	1	1	0	8
Duane Posey	G	18	3-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Chris Mubiru	G	33	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	3	1	2	5
Jimel Lane	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	6	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

88.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency88.4

-20.2Net Efficiency20.2

37.7%Effective FG%51.0%

41.0%True Shooting %55.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.5%Free Throw Rate46.2%

41.0%3-Point Rate15.4%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.