Southern Indiana

7-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.4%Southern Indiana

92.6%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -16.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -1251

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 65

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreTennessee State 82

Team Comparison

Southern IndianaMetricTennessee State

37.3MMH Power Index55.4

99.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

106.5Defensive Efficiency102.7

-7.3Net Efficiency8.2

-2.0Strength of Schedule-3.1

-14.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

66.7Tempo72.4

45.0%Effective FG%50.9%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.2%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-4.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–37.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–99.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.5), net efficiency (8.2–-7.3).

Southern Indiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-3.1), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Southern Indiana

74—79

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 5 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IndianaTEAM STATTennessee State

20-49FG23-46

41.0%FG%50.0%

6-143PT6-13

43.0%3PT%46.0%

28-42FT27-36

67.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds24

18Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists12

20Turnovers13

6Steals10

—Blocks5

27Fouls29

Player Box Score

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	39	5-16	1-2	12-15	5	1	2	23
Jack Mielke	Forward	34	5-8	4-6	0-0	5	0	1	14
AJ Smith	F	37	2-9	0-3	6-10	5	1	2	10
Ryan Hall	Guard	17	4-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	9
Nolan Causwell	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	5-8	5	0	0	7
Javius Moore	Guard	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	4
Jack Campion	G	24	1-4	0-0	1-3	4	3	1	3
Nick Hittle	F	13	0-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	3
Johnny Semany	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Sam Mervis	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
EJ Bellinger	Guard	26	6-8	2-3	7-8	6	3	1	0	21
Jaylen Jones	G	32	5-7	2-2	4-6	3	5	1	1	16
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	16	2-5	0-0	8-8	1	0	1	3	12
Christian Brown	Guard	27	3-6	2-4	3-5	3	1	1	1	11
Michael Shanks	Forward	22	4-9	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	9
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	1-3	3	1	0	0	3
Justin Williams	Guard	26	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	2	0	2
Denim Dawson	Guard	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	11	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	15	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

104.8Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency104.8

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

46.9%Effective FG%56.5%

53.7%True Shooting %62.6%

28.2%Turnover Rate18.5%

85.7%Free Throw Rate78.3%

28.6%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.30Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.