Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Little Rock

51.3%Eastern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Illinois -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Illinois -105

Eastern Illinois

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricEastern Illinois

44MMH Power Index39.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.4

-5.2Net Efficiency-4.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

68.5Tempo67.4

50.3%Effective FG%47.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

28.6%Free Throw Rate33.7%

-3.6Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Little Rock

71—47

Eastern Illinois

Little Rock by 24 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATEastern Illinois

26-55FG19-66

47.0%FG%29.0%

5-143PT5-28

36.0%3PT%18.0%

14-16FT4-6

88.0%FT%67.0%

47Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists11

12Turnovers6

4Steals6

4Blocks2

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Douglas	G	30	6-10	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	14
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	27	3-6	0-0	5-5	13	6	1	0	11
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	23	2-8	0-0	7-9	5	3	0	3	11
KK Robinson	G	30	2-9	1-3	2-2	9	5	1	0	7
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	14	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	28	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	1	4
Cougar Downing	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Creed Williamson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	37	6-15	2-7	0-0	4	4	0	0	14
Tiger Booker	Guard	39	4-13	0-5	2-2	2	4	3	0	10
Dan Luers	Guard	36	3-14	3-10	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Kyndall Davis	G	31	3-8	0-3	2-4	3	1	1	1	8
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	19	1-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Jermaine Hamlin	Forward	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Sincere Malone	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylin Gibson	Guard	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Light	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carson Prost	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

114.0Offensive Efficiency75.4

75.4Defensive Efficiency114.0

38.5Net Efficiency-38.5

51.8%Effective FG%32.6%

56.7%True Shooting %34.1%

19.2%Turnover Rate9.7%

29.1%Free Throw Rate9.1%

25.5%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.