Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Central Michigan

84.6%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -549

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 70

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreBowling Green 84

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBowling Green

44MMH Power Index54.7

105.9Offensive Efficiency112.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency99.1

-5.1Net Efficiency13.5

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.7

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.3Tempo72.2

52.6%Effective FG%53.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

32.9%Free Throw Rate38.7%

-3.5Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–44.0), offensive efficiency (112.6–105.9), defensive efficiency (99.1–111.0), net efficiency (13.5–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-4.7), offensive rebounding (29.6–29.2).

Final

Central Michigan

77—76

Bowling Green

Central Michigan by 1 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBowling Green

31-61FG24-73

51.0%FG%33.0%

5-133PT7-33

38.0%3PT%21.0%

10-16FT21-32

63.0%FT%66.0%

52Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists15

16Turnovers3

2Steals11

6Blocks4

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	G	46	7-21	0-5	5-6	6	4	0	0	19
Derrick Butler	Guard	43	6-10	1-2	4-5	3	0	0	0	17
Brian Taylor	Guard	48	7-13	1-3	0-2	7	1	0	0	15
Aidan Rubio	G	27	3-4	2-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Jemal Davis	Forward	13	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
KJ Oduor	Center	38	2-5	0-0	1-3	14	1	1	4	5
Cayden Vasko	G	32	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Hunter Harding	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	43	8-20	1-3	5-9	7	7	1	0	22
Rashaun Agee	F	39	6-11	0-0	8-12	14	4	1	2	20
Trey Thomas	Guard	41	2-14	2-11	2-2	1	2	2	0	8
Jason Spurgin	Center	40	3-10	2-7	0-0	4	0	2	2	8
DaJion Humphrey	G	23	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	7
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	31	2-5	1-4	1-2	2	0	3	0	6
Sam Towns	F	9	0-3	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	0	4
EJay Greer	Guard	12	0-3	0-3	1-3	0	0	0	0	1
P.J. Edwards	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

104.2Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency104.2

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

54.9%Effective FG%37.7%

56.1%True Shooting %43.1%

22.0%Turnover Rate4.0%

26.2%Free Throw Rate43.8%

21.3%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.56Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.