Maryland

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.3%Maryland

96.7%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -23.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -2930

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMaryland 62

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

MarylandMetricMichigan State

44.1MMH Power Index69.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency117.0

113.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

-9.1Net Efficiency15.5

5.2Strength of Schedule7.2

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.7Tempo67.3

48.6%Effective FG%54.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-6.1Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–44.1), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–113.6), net efficiency (15.5–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–36.6).

Final

Maryland

54—63

Michigan State

Michigan State by 9 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarylandTEAM STATMichigan State

17-55FG24-54

31.0%FG%44.0%

7-303PT4-14

23.0%3PT%29.0%

13-13FT11-16

100.0%FT%69.0%

30Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists14

13Turnovers12

5Steals7

5Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmir Young	Guard	39	9-22	4-12	9-9	4	2	1	0	31
Donta Scott	Forward	39	5-19	3-12	0-0	10	0	1	1	13
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	35	3-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	3	6
Jahari Long	G	30	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	2	1	1	2
Julian Reese	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	0	2
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	24	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Hall	Forward	34	5-9	1-2	8-11	7	1	0	0	19
Tyson Walker	Guard	33	8-16	2-3	1-3	3	2	1	0	19
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	3-11	1-7	0-0	5	0	2	0	7
AJ Hoggard	Guard	31	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	8	3	0	6
Mady Sissoko	Center	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Carson Cooper	C	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	3	2
Tre Holloman	G	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Coen Carr	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

87.2Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency87.2

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

37.3%Effective FG%48.1%

44.1%True Shooting %51.1%

20.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

23.6%Free Throw Rate29.6%

54.5%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.