Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Lafayette

54.9%Army

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArmy -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArmy -122

Army

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 73

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreArmy 75

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricArmy

39.6MMH Power Index36.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency104.8

110.3Defensive Efficiency112.1

-7.4Net Efficiency-7.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.3

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.6

67.5Tempo68.9

49.4%Effective FG%49.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate26.5%

-5.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–36.8), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.1), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.3), recent form (-6.4–-10.6).

Army COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.8–102.9), net efficiency (-7.3–-7.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Lafayette

64—56

Army

Lafayette by 8 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATArmy

23-54FG20-56

43.0%FG%36.0%

5-153PT6-24

33.0%3PT%25.0%

13-17FT10-16

76.0%FT%63.0%

41Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists7

12Turnovers10

6Steals4

4Blocks6

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Pettit	G	21	6-9	1-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	15
Mark Butler	G	36	4-10	0-1	5-6	5	2	0	0	13
Devin Hines	G	33	4-8	3-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	13
Chris Rubayo	F	18	5-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	4	10
Justin Vander Baan	C	23	1-9	0-1	1-2	10	1	0	0	3
Eric Sondberg	Guard	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Joshua Wyche	F	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	21	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Luka Savicevic	G	20	0-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	2
Luke Rasmussen	G	29	0-2	0-1	0-1	7	1	0	0	0

Army

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Scovens	F	37	8-13	4-5	4-4	3	0	0	1	24
Abe Johnson	Forward	26	5-8	0-0	2-3	10	0	0	2	12
Ryan Curry	G	34	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	2	5
Charlie Peterson	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	0	5
Jared Cross	Guard	35	1-4	0-3	2-5	1	1	3	1	4
TJ Small	Guard	35	1-8	0-5	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Kwabena Davis	Guard	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dylan Blair	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
AJ Allenspach	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Caldwell	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Matt Dove	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zach Rocco	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zach Lezanic	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency87.6

87.6Defensive Efficiency100.2

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

47.2%Effective FG%41.1%

51.6%True Shooting %44.0%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.5%Free Throw Rate28.6%

27.8%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.