Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Drake

57.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -133

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreIndiana State 77

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricIndiana State

46.4MMH Power Index44.4

109.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

109.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.4Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.6Tempo70.3

52.2%Effective FG%53.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

34.4%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.2Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Drake

67—75

Indiana State

Indiana State by 8 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATIndiana State

24-61FG25-59

39.0%FG%42.0%

7-223PT7-30

32.0%3PT%23.0%

12-23FT18-24

52.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds45

5Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists10

9Turnovers10

7Steals5

1Blocks4

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	33	9-21	3-8	5-6	10	1	2	0	26
Kevin Overton	G	36	4-12	3-8	2-4	5	1	2	0	13
Darnell Brodie	Forward	22	4-9	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	8
Atin Wright	Guard	34	3-9	1-3	0-0	7	3	1	0	7
Nate Ferguson	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	4-10	4	0	1	1	6
Conor Enright	G	35	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	5
Kyron Gibson	Guard	22	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	39	5-15	1-8	10-10	7	3	1	1	21
Robbie Avila	C	33	6-10	4-6	4-5	11	4	1	2	20
Julian Larry	Guard	37	7-10	1-2	1-2	2	0	3	0	16
Isaiah Swope	Guard	37	4-13	1-8	2-2	1	2	0	0	11
Jayson Kent	Forward	40	3-7	0-2	0-3	20	0	0	1	6
Xavier Bledson	Guard	8	0-4	0-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Masen Miller	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Wolfe	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

88.5Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency88.5

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

45.1%Effective FG%48.3%

46.6%True Shooting %53.3%

11.9%Turnover Rate13.3%

37.7%Free Throw Rate40.7%

36.1%3-Point Rate50.8%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.