UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%UC Davis

57.4%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -135

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 81

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreCal Poly 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal Poly

48.4MMH Power Index46.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

3.5Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.9Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

72.4Tempo76.6

52.3%Effective FG%52.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (3.5–-3.8), shooting efficiency (52.3–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.9), recent form (2.4–-0.1), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

59—52

Cal Poly

UC Davis by 7 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal Poly

20-54FG16-47

37.0%FG%34.0%

6-173PT6-19

35.0%3PT%32.0%

13-16FT14-22

81.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists11

14Turnovers15

9Steals8

5Blocks5

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	37	5-17	2-6	4-4	8	2	2	0	16
TY Johnson	Guard	23	3-9	2-5	5-5	2	1	2	0	13
Connor Sevilla	G	8	4-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	18	3-6	0-0	1-1	6	4	1	1	7
Niko Rocak	F	31	2-4	0-0	1-3	9	1	2	2	5
Pablo Tamba	F	10	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kane Milling	Guard	34	1-6	0-2	0-1	5	3	1	0	2
Francesco Borra	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Sione Lose	Guard	29	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	37	4-11	1-3	5-7	2	4	2	0	14
Joel Armotrading	C	35	2-6	0-0	6-11	13	1	1	4	10
Quentin Jones	G	35	3-10	1-3	1-2	8	3	3	1	8
Justin Page	G	22	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Paul Bizimana	Forward	13	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Hayden Jory	Guard	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Cole Haller	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Aidan Prukop	Guard	20	0-7	0-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Isaac Spears	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

94.2Offensive Efficiency83.1

83.1Defensive Efficiency94.2

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

42.6%Effective FG%40.4%

47.9%True Shooting %45.3%

22.4%Turnover Rate24.0%

29.6%Free Throw Rate46.8%

31.5%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.