Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.2%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13.8%Mississippi Valley State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -625

Mississippi Valley State

3-30

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 84

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 72

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricMississippi Valley State

38.7MMH Power Index17.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency91.1

111.6Defensive Efficiency117.8

-5.2Net Efficiency-26.7

-6.0Strength of Schedule-4.1

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.3

72.6Tempo70.5

51.4%Effective FG%45.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate21.8%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

37.7%Free Throw Rate34.5%

-3.8Average Margin-18.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–17.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.0).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

83—77

Mississippi Valley State

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 6 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATMississippi Valley State

23-47FG23-72

49.0%FG%32.0%

9-243PT8-40

38.0%3PT%20.0%

28-41FT23-30

68.0%FT%77.0%

42Rebounds44

6Offensive Rebounds18

7Assists13

10Turnovers4

3Steals3

—Blocks2

26Fouls27

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	32	4-8	1-3	10-17	11	2	1	19
Joe French	Guard	24	5-9	4-8	0-0	2	0	0	14
Caleb Stokes	Forward	14	5-9	2-5	2-2	3	0	0	14
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	34	1-3	0-1	11-16	5	2	1	13
Ismael Plet	Forward	24	4-6	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	9
Trejon Ware	G	33	2-2	0-0	4-4	6	3	1	8
Rashad Williams	Guard	31	2-8	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	6
Kaine McColley	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Zachary Reinhart	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Danny Washington	Guard	33	7-18	5-15	3-4	3	1	1	0	22
Arecko Gipson	Guard	30	4-7	0-1	14-16	10	3	0	0	22
Rayquan Brown	Guard	33	6-17	0-6	2-2	7	1	1	0	14
Donovan Sanders	Guard	35	4-13	2-7	2-4	3	7	1	1	12
Reginald Reynolds	Forward	24	1-9	1-9	2-4	4	1	0	0	5
Daniel Umoh	Center	7	1-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jordan Johnson	Guard	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chidi Umeh	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ernest Minton	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Quorien Waldon	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Walter Hamilton	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
George Ivory III	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Markell Petro	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

116.2Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency116.2

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

58.5%Effective FG%37.5%

62.4%True Shooting %44.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate5.5%

87.2%Free Throw Rate41.7%

51.1%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.70Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.