UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%UMBC

19.7%UAlbany

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -408

UAlbany

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 73

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreUAlbany 65

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricUAlbany

59.1MMH Power Index41.9

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency108.8

14.0Net Efficiency-0.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-6.1

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

65.5Tempo64.3

54.3%Effective FG%52.8%

14.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

9.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–41.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–108.8), net efficiency (14.0–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–25.2).

Final

UMBC

114—102

UAlbany

UMBC by 12 • 87.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATUAlbany

42-73FG40-80

58.0%FG%50.0%

6-163PT15-39

38.0%3PT%38.0%

24-29FT7-11

83.0%FT%64.0%

39Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists17

10Turnovers11

7Steals8

4Blocks4

9Fouls24

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	35	11-20	1-2	6-8	12	3	1	1	29
Franck Emmou	G	27	6-7	2-2	10-12	1	2	0	0	24
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	36	8-18	2-9	2-2	5	4	0	0	20
Regimantas Ciunys	F	20	6-8	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	1	14
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	22	5-8	0-0	2-3	3	5	2	2	12
Ace Valentine	G	28	4-7	0-0	2-2	4	4	3	0	10
Devan Sapp	Guard	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Marlon Short	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Ashton Reese	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Bertram	Guard	40	13-20	10-16	0-0	1	2	1	0	36
Amar'e Marshall	G	30	9-14	3-5	4-5	4	4	1	1	25
Sebastian Thomas	Guard	40	6-14	2-5	2-4	5	9	4	0	16
Ny'Mire Little	Guard	35	4-11	0-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Jack Margoupis	F	8	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Muneer Newton	F	16	2-6	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	1	4
Aaron Reddish	Forward	15	2-6	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Marcus Filien	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Zane Adnan	Guard	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

87.0Possessions87.0

131.0Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency131.0

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

61.6%Effective FG%59.4%

65.7%True Shooting %59.8%

11.5%Turnover Rate12.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate13.8%

21.9%3-Point Rate48.8%

2.30Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

UMBC won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 87.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.