Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Sacramento State

78.8%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -372

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScorePortland State 84

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricPortland State

43MMH Power Index50.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

112.0Defensive Efficiency100.2

-5.9Net Efficiency9.1

0.9Strength of Schedule-5.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

73.2Tempo70.1

48.5%Effective FG%51.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (109.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–112.0), net efficiency (9.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-5.6), ball security (14.2–16.6), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Sacramento State

51—58

Portland State

Portland State by 7 • 54.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATPortland State

21-50FG22-53

42.0%FG%42.0%

3-183PT5-17

17.0%3PT%29.0%

6-8FT9-16

75.0%FT%56.0%

34Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists13

15Turnovers9

2Steals4

—Blocks8

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zee Hamoda	G	30	4-11	2-7	1-2	7	3	1	11
Duncan Powell	F	19	4-5	0-0	3-3	3	0	0	11
Bailey Nunn	G	22	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	5	1	6
Austin Patterson	Guard	28	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	5
Akol Mawein	Forward	23	2-2	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	5
Jacob Holt	Forward	18	2-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	5
Emil Skytt	G	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	4
Alex Kovatchev	G	24	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	2
Bowyn Beatty	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	2

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	35	4-10	2-4	5-6	6	0	1	0	15
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	28	6-9	3-5	0-1	5	0	0	0	15
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	28	4-8	0-2	2-3	4	0	1	1	10
Isiah Kirby	Guard	32	3-10	0-1	2-3	2	7	0	0	8
Kendall Munson	Forward	24	4-6	0-0	0-3	6	1	2	1	8
Hayden Curtiss	Center	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	6	2
Bobby Harvey	Guard	14	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	0
Cole Farrell	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

54.7Possessions54.7

93.2Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency93.2

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

45.0%Effective FG%46.2%

47.4%True Shooting %47.9%

26.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

16.0%Free Throw Rate30.2%

36.0%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Portland State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 54.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.