Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Idaho

63.5%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -174

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricMontana State

53.2MMH Power Index53.6

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

104.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.3Net Efficiency9.5

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.7Tempo68.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Idaho

81—75

Montana State

Idaho by 6 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATMontana State

31-57FG26-53

54.0%FG%49.0%

5-193PT9-19

26.0%3PT%47.0%

14-20FT14-19

70.0%FT%74.0%

32Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists15

13Turnovers12

6Steals5

4Blocks1

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julius Mims	F	36	7-11	0-3	1-3	14	1	2	4	15
D'Angelo Minnis	Guard	35	6-15	2-6	0-0	4	3	3	0	14
Kyson Rose	Forward	21	5-7	1-2	2-3	1	1	0	0	13
Terren Frank	F	23	4-7	0-2	4-6	4	1	1	0	12
Quinn Denker	G	31	3-9	1-4	4-4	2	3	0	0	11
Tre Blassingame	G	26	3-4	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
EJ Neal Jr.	G	14	2-2	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	6
Kristian Gonzalez	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	2

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	38	4-6	3-4	4-6	7	1	1	0	15
Brian Goracke	Forward	33	5-10	2-4	2-3	3	2	1	0	14
Brandon Walker	F	27	7-11	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	0	14
Tyler Patterson	Guard	37	4-10	3-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	11
Sam Lecholat	Forward	21	4-8	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	1	9
Eddie Turner III	Guard	27	2-3	1-1	2-2	0	5	1	0	7
Jaden Geron	G	7	0-2	0-1	5-5	1	0	0	0	5
Chika Nduka	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	0
John Olmsted	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jed Miller	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency116.0

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

58.8%Effective FG%57.5%

60.9%True Shooting %60.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

35.1%Free Throw Rate35.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Idaho won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.