Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Jacksonville State

62.5%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -167

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricNew Mexico State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.2Offensive Efficiency108.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency104.5

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

67.2Tempo68.9

51.0%Effective FG%48.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

44.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

65—67

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 2 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATNew Mexico State

24-63FG26-53

38.0%FG%49.0%

4-143PT9-24

29.0%3PT%38.0%

13-21FT6-10

62.0%FT%60.0%

34Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists11

4Turnovers9

6Steals2

—Blocks1

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quincy Clark	Guard	32	6-17	0-1	4-5	2	5	1	16
KyKy Tandy	Guard	36	3-15	2-8	5-6	1	1	2	13
Juwan Perdue	Forward	35	4-8	2-4	2-3	12	1	0	12
Mason Nicholson	C	25	5-6	0-0	0-4	10	0	0	10
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	23	3-8	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	6
Matt Mayers	Forward	14	1-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	3
Caleb Johnson	F	7	1-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	3
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	26	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	2
Alex Odam	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Tyre Patterson	Guard	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Cook	Guard	29	6-11	3-6	2-2	3	1	0	1	17
Jordan Rawls	Guard	37	5-11	2-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	14
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	26	6-7	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	0	12
Jaden Harris	G	24	4-9	2-5	1-1	0	0	1	0	11
Femi Odukale	Guard	34	2-6	1-4	0-0	7	7	0	0	5
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	24	2-3	1-2	0-2	1	1	1	0	5
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Keylon Dorsey	G	13	0-4	0-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

107.6Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

41.3%Effective FG%57.5%

44.5%True Shooting %58.0%

6.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.3%Free Throw Rate18.9%

22.2%3-Point Rate45.3%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.