Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Colorado State

39.8%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -151

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricFresno State

55.4MMH Power Index47.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.2Net Efficiency0.0

0.4Strength of Schedule1.5

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

64.7Tempo69.4

58.6%Effective FG%51.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.6Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (117.1–104.9), net efficiency (7.2–0.0), recent form (4.3–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.9), strength of schedule (1.5–0.4), ball security (18.2–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

73—61

Fresno State

Colorado State by 12 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATFresno State

28-53FG23-50

53.0%FG%46.0%

9-223PT7-18

41.0%3PT%39.0%

8-8FT8-9

100.0%FT%89.0%

26Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists15

5Turnovers12

4Steals1

1Blocks1

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Scott	Forward	30	6-8	2-3	0-0	6	6	0	0	14
Patrick Cartier	Forward	28	5-9	2-5	2-2	2	2	1	0	14
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	5-11	0-3	2-2	8	4	0	1	12
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	5-9	2-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	12
Josiah Strong	Guard	24	4-5	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Rashaan Mbemba	F	10	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Joe Palmer	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Jalen Lake	Guard	18	0-6	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donavan Yap	Guard	27	7-10	3-6	3-4	5	3	0	0	20
Isaiah Hill	Guard	38	4-11	1-3	2-2	4	9	1	0	11
Enoch Boakye	Forward	32	4-8	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	1	9
Xavier DuSell	Guard	29	3-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Isaiah Pope	Guard	27	2-8	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Jalen Weaver	Guard	23	2-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Leo Colimerio	Forward	20	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Taveras	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

123.5Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency123.5

20.3Net Efficiency-20.3

61.3%Effective FG%53.0%

64.3%True Shooting %56.2%

8.7%Turnover Rate19.9%

15.1%Free Throw Rate18.0%

41.5%3-Point Rate36.0%

3.20Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.