UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.6%UC Santa Barbara

16.4%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -510

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Bakersfield

51.4MMH Power Index32.2

113.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

7.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

68.5Tempo73.0

54.8%Effective FG%46.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

4.8Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

70—59

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Santa Barbara by 11 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

22-48FG23-55

46.0%FG%42.0%

5-123PT3-14

42.0%3PT%21.0%

21-29FT10-15

72.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists7

6Turnovers8

3Steals2

—Blocks6

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	35	8-13	1-2	3-3	7	2	1	20
Yohan Traore	F	33	2-9	0-0	10-10	3	0	0	14
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	36	4-8	1-2	4-4	7	4	2	13
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	3-8	2-4	1-2	0	0	0	9
Jason Fontenet II	G	23	2-3	1-2	3-4	4	0	0	8
Ariel Bland	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-4	5	2	0	4
Evans Kipruto	C	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Kilian Brockhoff	F	15	0-3	0-2	0-2	2	1	0	0
Ben Shtolzberg	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	37	6-19	1-4	6-6	1	4	0	0	19
Corey Stephenson	G	27	7-11	0-2	4-7	3	0	0	0	18
Marvin McGhee III	G	38	3-8	2-6	0-0	7	0	1	0	8
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	26	2-4	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	2	4
Tom Mark	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4	4
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	6	2-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	0	2
Kareem Watson	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dalph Panopio	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

113.8Offensive Efficiency95.9

95.9Defensive Efficiency113.8

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

51.0%Effective FG%44.5%

56.7%True Shooting %47.5%

9.9%Turnover Rate12.9%

60.4%Free Throw Rate27.3%

25.0%3-Point Rate25.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.