Wright State

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Wright State

53.8%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -116

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWright State 80

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 82

Team Comparison

Wright StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

57.1MMH Power Index53.9

116.4Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

9.9Net Efficiency7.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-2.9

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

69.2Tempo72.3

55.2%Effective FG%54.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

6.8Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Wright State

85—78

Northern Kentucky

Wright State by 7 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wright StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

33-57FG27-66

58.0%FG%41.0%

6-223PT8-26

27.0%3PT%31.0%

13-23FT16-22

57.0%FT%73.0%

40Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists15

17Turnovers12

5Steals11

5Blocks—

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Calvin	Guard	35	6-11	2-6	7-9	6	3	1	0	21
Alex Huibregtse	G	38	7-13	3-8	0-0	3	10	1	0	17
Brandon Noel	F	29	6-9	1-2	2-4	5	2	2	0	15
AJ Braun	Forward	36	6-8	0-0	1-3	14	0	0	5	13
Tanner Holden	Guard	33	5-9	0-2	3-7	8	4	1	0	13
Drey Carter	F	21	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Kaden Brown	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Andrew Welage	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Logan Woods	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	38	6-17	0-5	8-9	3	3	1	20
Michael Bradley	Guard	33	6-11	3-7	2-4	1	4	0	17
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	7-18	1-6	0-0	9	3	4	15
Randall Pettus II	G	25	3-5	2-3	5-6	2	0	0	13
LJ Wells	F	34	3-9	2-4	1-2	7	5	3	9
Keeyan Itejere	F	23	2-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	3	4
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	8	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

112.3Offensive Efficiency103.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency112.3

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

63.2%Effective FG%47.0%

62.6%True Shooting %51.0%

22.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate33.3%

38.6%3-Point Rate39.4%

1.24Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Wright State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.