Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.2%Providence

74.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -297

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 77

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreVillanova 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricVillanova

54.2MMH Power Index59.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.8Net Efficiency8.8

4.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

74.2Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Providence

50—68

Villanova

Villanova by 18 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATVillanova

15-51FG27-64

29.0%FG%42.0%

7-333PT10-28

21.0%3PT%36.0%

13-13FT4-8

100.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists17

13Turnovers5

2Steals10

2Blocks3

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Oduro	Forward	35	4-10	0-2	10-10	12	0	0	1	18
Devin Carter	Guard	35	5-9	5-8	2-2	5	4	0	0	17
Ticket Gaines	Guard	37	4-11	2-8	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Jayden Pierre	G	38	2-13	0-8	1-1	3	3	0	0	5
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	21	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Garwey Dual	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Rich Barron	F	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Rafael Castro	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	25	5-8	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	12
Brendan Hausen	G	23	4-8	3-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	11
TJ Bamba	Guard	24	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	3	2	0	9
Hakim Hart	Guard	21	4-7	1-3	0-0	4	5	2	0	9
Tyler Burton	Forward	20	3-7	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Justin Moore	Guard	25	2-8	0-3	2-4	4	1	1	0	6
Jordan Longino	Guard	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Mark Armstrong	Guard	30	2-13	0-4	1-2	6	3	3	0	5
Lance Ware	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

80.6Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency80.6

-29.0Net Efficiency29.0

36.3%Effective FG%50.0%

43.7%True Shooting %50.1%

20.9%Turnover Rate8.1%

25.5%Free Throw Rate12.5%

64.7%3-Point Rate43.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Villanova won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.