Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Northwestern State

68.3%Nicholls

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNicholls -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENicholls -215

Nicholls

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 68

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNicholls 73

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNicholls

41.3MMH Power Index43.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-5.0Net Efficiency-3.7

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.4

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

63.6Tempo68.7

49.5%Effective FG%51.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-3.2Average Margin-2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Northwestern State

66—73

Nicholls

Nicholls by 7 • 57.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNicholls

22-45FG24-51

49.0%FG%47.0%

10-213PT9-20

48.0%3PT%45.0%

12-21FT16-26

57.0%FT%62.0%

27Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists13

11Turnovers9

7Steals6

2Blocks5

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cliff Davis	G	39	9-16	7-11	0-0	3	3	2	0	25
Chase Forte	G	37	4-9	1-4	8-14	4	2	2	0	17
Braelon Bush	G	31	4-9	2-6	1-2	1	4	0	0	11
Duane Posey	G	30	4-5	0-0	3-5	6	3	1	1	11
Justin Wilson	Forward	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Chris Mubiru	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jimel Lane	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamal West Jr.	F	40	6-12	0-1	5-8	7	5	0	3	17
Michael Gray Jr.	G	35	6-12	3-8	2-2	5	1	3	0	17
Diante Smith	Forward	39	5-12	2-4	4-6	8	2	2	1	16
Byron Ireland	Guard	26	4-8	2-4	1-3	1	4	1	0	11
Jalen White	Guard	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Oumar Koureissi	F	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Mekhi Collins	Not Available	24	0-2	0-0	2-5	3	0	0	1	2
Quinn Strander	Guard	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.7Possessions57.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency126.5

126.5Defensive Efficiency114.4

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

60.0%Effective FG%55.9%

60.0%True Shooting %57.6%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

46.7%Free Throw Rate51.0%

46.7%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Nicholls won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 57.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.