Canisius

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Canisius

67.3%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNiagara -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL132.5

MODEL MONEYLINENiagara -206

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCanisius 64

Projected Total132.5

Projected ScoreNiagara 69

Team Comparison

CanisiusMetricNiagara

33.9MMH Power Index35.8

97.1Offensive Efficiency100.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

-11.7Net Efficiency-11.6

-1.8Strength of Schedule-0.8

-10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

64.8Tempo63.4

46.8%Effective FG%50.9%

19.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

32.4%Free Throw Rate27.3%

-7.5Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–33.9), offensive efficiency (100.8–97.1), net efficiency (-11.6–-11.7), strength of schedule (-0.8–-1.8).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.8–112.4), offensive rebounding (29.1–24.9), free throw rate (32.4–27.3).

Final

Canisius

64—69

Niagara

Niagara by 5 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CanisiusTEAM STATNiagara

25-58FG28-57

43.0%FG%49.0%

2-153PT4-16

13.0%3PT%25.0%

12-20FT9-12

60.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds9

6Assists15

13Turnovers12

7Steals7

5Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frank Mitchell	F	34	6-10	0-1	4-8	14	2	2	0	16
Bryce Okpoh	Forward	28	5-10	0-2	3-6	6	1	0	1	13
Siem Uijtendaal	Guard	31	3-11	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Youri Fritz	F	18	3-4	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	3	9
Tre Dinkins	G	37	3-12	1-6	0-0	2	0	3	1	7
Cameron Palesse	G	34	3-8	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Devean Williams	G	18	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	4

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Harlan Obioha	C	27	8-11	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	16
Ahmad Henderson II	G	33	4-11	2-6	3-4	1	1	0	0	13
Yaw Obeng-Mensah	Forward	27	5-9	0-0	1-2	9	3	3	2	11
Dre Bullock	G	22	3-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	7
Kwane Marble	Guard	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	0	6
Luke Bumbalough	Guard	33	1-7	1-6	2-2	3	4	0	0	5
Braxton Bayless	G	23	2-6	0-1	1-2	0	5	0	0	5
Aime Rutayisire	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Randy Tucker	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

96.1Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency96.1

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

44.8%Effective FG%52.6%

47.4%True Shooting %55.0%

19.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate21.1%

25.9%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Niagara won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.