Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Buffalo

74.4%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -291

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 74

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreBowling Green 83

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricBowling Green

49.7MMH Power Index54.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.2Defensive Efficiency99.1

2.7Net Efficiency13.5

0.0Strength of Schedule-4.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.9Tempo72.2

56.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate38.7%

1.8Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–49.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–112.2), net efficiency (13.5–2.7), recent form (1.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–112.6), strength of schedule (0.0–-4.7), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.4).

Final

Buffalo

73—87

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 14 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATBowling Green

29-65FG33-61

45.0%FG%54.0%

10-303PT4-15

33.0%3PT%27.0%

5-10FT17-19

50.0%FT%89.0%

31Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds6

19Assists19

14Turnovers12

6Steals9

—Blocks1

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	35	7-11	7-10	0-0	2	1	1	21
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	33	9-15	0-2	1-4	2	6	1	19
Sy Chatman	Forward	37	4-12	0-5	3-4	6	0	0	11
Isaiah Adams	Guard	36	4-14	2-8	0-0	2	6	3	10
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	25	3-7	0-2	0-0	8	6	1	6
Bryson Wilson	G	8	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	4
Zaakir Williamson	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	35	11-16	0-0	5-6	6	4	1	0	27
Rashaun Agee	F	31	7-10	0-0	4-4	10	2	0	1	18
Jason Spurgin	Center	32	6-11	2-5	0-0	6	0	2	0	14
Trey Thomas	Guard	34	2-7	1-4	6-7	5	6	2	0	11
DaJion Humphrey	G	28	2-6	0-2	2-2	2	2	3	0	6
EJay Greer	Guard	18	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
P.J. Edwards	G	17	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Anthony McComb III	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Greg Spurgin	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JZ Zaher	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

96.8Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency96.8

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

52.3%Effective FG%57.4%

52.3%True Shooting %62.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

15.4%Free Throw Rate31.1%

46.2%3-Point Rate24.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.