Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.0%Toledo

23.0%Eastern Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -335

Eastern Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 80

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 73

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricEastern Michigan

58.8MMH Power Index43.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency102.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

6.4Net Efficiency-4.2

2.3Strength of Schedule1.4

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

69.8Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%49.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

4.5Average Margin-2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–43.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–102.4), net efficiency (6.4–-4.2), strength of schedule (2.3–1.4).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–109.6).

Final

Toledo

91—87

Eastern Michigan

Toledo by 4 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATEastern Michigan

32-59FG38-68

54.0%FG%56.0%

5-123PT8-19

42.0%3PT%42.0%

22-29FT3-9

76.0%FT%33.0%

28Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists16

6Turnovers13

5Steals5

1Blocks3

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Cochran	G	34	6-12	2-4	6-9	6	4	1	0	20
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	31	7-12	1-1	5-6	6	1	1	0	20
Javan Simmons	F	31	6-11	0-0	4-6	8	1	0	1	16
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	21	4-5	0-1	5-5	5	0	0	0	13
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	29	4-9	1-2	2-2	0	2	2	0	11
Sonny Wilson	G	23	2-4	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	0	4
Bryce Ford	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Sam Lewis	G	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Grgur Brcic	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Acuff	Guard	40	10-19	2-6	2-5	8	5	0	0	24
Orlando Lovejoy	G	38	8-16	0-1	0-3	2	6	3	0	16
Arne Osojnik	G	36	5-11	4-8	0-0	2	2	1	1	14
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	28	6-8	0-0	1-1	8	0	1	1	13
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	16	4-6	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	10
Cyril Martynov	C	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Legend Geeter	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Javantae Randle	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Connor Serven	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Micah Schnyders	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

124.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency124.5

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

58.5%Effective FG%61.8%

62.5%True Shooting %60.2%

8.4%Turnover Rate17.5%

49.2%Free Throw Rate13.2%

20.3%3-Point Rate27.9%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Toledo won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.