Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Boise State

51.3%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -105

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricColorado State

59.5MMH Power Index55.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.8Net Efficiency7.2

4.2Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

52.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.7Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Boise State

62—75

Colorado State

Colorado State by 13 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATColorado State

23-56FG27-48

41.0%FG%56.0%

5-203PT4-15

25.0%3PT%27.0%

11-17FT17-19

65.0%FT%89.0%

29Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists22

8Turnovers11

5Steals5

1Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	37	10-14	1-2	4-4	7	1	0	0	25
Max Rice	Guard	34	3-9	2-4	3-3	7	0	1	0	11
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	29	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	27	2-8	0-3	2-4	2	1	2	1	6
Roddie Anderson	G	28	2-8	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Andrew Meadow	F	18	1-3	0-1	2-6	1	1	1	0	4
Jace Whiting	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Cam Martin	Forward	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kobe Young	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	5-8	2-3	4-4	3	11	0	0	16
Joel Scott	Forward	27	4-6	0-1	5-6	6	2	2	1	13
Patrick Cartier	Forward	19	4-5	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	10
Jalen Lake	Guard	20	3-9	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
Rashaan Mbemba	F	13	2-3	0-0	4-4	4	0	0	0	8
Nique Clifford	Guard	32	3-8	0-3	1-1	6	4	0	1	7
Joe Palmer	Guard	21	3-4	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	1	7
Josiah Strong	Guard	28	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	6
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

98.3Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency98.3

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

45.5%Effective FG%60.4%

48.4%True Shooting %65.8%

12.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

35.7%3-Point Rate31.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.