Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Michigan State

16.2%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -517

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreMinnesota 66

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMinnesota

69.8MMH Power Index50.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency109.1

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.7

15.5Net Efficiency1.4

7.2Strength of Schedule3.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

67.3Tempo63.6

54.1%Effective FG%54.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

10.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–50.5), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.7), net efficiency (15.5–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHball security (16.5–17.2), free throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

56—59

Minnesota

Minnesota by 3 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMinnesota

21-47FG19-44

45.0%FG%43.0%

7-183PT9-23

39.0%3PT%39.0%

7-17FT12-19

41.0%FT%63.0%

28Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists11

9Turnovers11

6Steals3

2Blocks2

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	32	8-18	2-7	2-2	3	2	2	0	20
Jaden Akins	Guard	33	6-11	4-7	0-0	3	2	0	1	16
Malik Hall	Forward	33	2-4	1-2	1-6	4	3	0	0	6
AJ Hoggard	Guard	30	1-6	0-0	2-3	3	5	2	0	4
Carson Cooper	C	19	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	1	2	0	4
Tre Holloman	G	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Xavier Booker	C	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Jaxon Kohler	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Coen Carr	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Christie	Guard	36	5-8	5-7	4-6	6	1	0	0	19
Dawson Garcia	Forward	33	4-10	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	1	10
Pharrel Payne	F	22	2-3	0-0	4-8	7	0	0	0	8
Parker Fox	Forward	19	3-4	0-1	2-3	4	1	1	1	8
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	39	2-9	0-5	2-2	3	6	0	0	6
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Braeden Carrington	G	21	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Ihnen	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

94.8Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency94.8

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

52.1%Effective FG%53.4%

50.8%True Shooting %55.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

36.2%Free Throw Rate43.2%

38.3%3-Point Rate52.3%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.