Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Fresno State

48.5%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -106

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 75

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreSan José State 74

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricSan José State

47.1MMH Power Index42

104.9Offensive Efficiency108.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

0.0Net Efficiency-9.8

1.5Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

69.4Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate34.2%

0.0Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–42.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-9.8), recent form (-6.0–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–104.9), strength of schedule (1.8–1.5), ball security (15.2–18.2).

Final

Fresno State

69—57

San José State

Fresno State by 12 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATSan José State

23-58FG24-61

40.0%FG%39.0%

9-243PT6-18

38.0%3PT%33.0%

14-24FT3-7

58.0%FT%43.0%

39Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists12

7Turnovers10

5Steals2

1Blocks3

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier DuSell	Guard	36	7-13	6-10	3-4	4	0	1	0	23
Enoch Boakye	Forward	24	6-11	0-0	2-5	14	1	2	1	14
Jalen Weaver	Guard	27	4-8	1-3	1-4	4	3	0	0	10
Isaiah Hill	Guard	40	2-7	1-3	4-4	0	10	0	0	9
Leo Colimerio	Forward	25	2-3	0-0	2-5	6	1	0	0	6
Isaiah Pope	Guard	28	1-6	1-4	2-2	6	2	2	0	5
Donavan Yap	Guard	20	1-10	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	38	6-16	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	12
Trey Anderson	Forward	25	4-7	1-2	2-3	2	0	1	0	11
Garrett Anderson	Guard	23	3-4	2-2	0-1	2	0	0	1	8
Myron Amey Jr.	G	28	3-11	1-5	0-0	6	4	0	0	7
Tibet Gorener	Forward	38	2-8	1-4	1-2	7	3	0	0	6
Christian Wise	F	18	2-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	2	4
Adrame Diongue	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-1	4	2	0	0	4
Rickey Mitchell Jr.	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Diogo Seixas	Forward	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

103.1Offensive Efficiency85.2

85.2Defensive Efficiency103.1

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

47.4%Effective FG%44.3%

49.7%True Shooting %44.3%

10.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

41.4%Free Throw Rate11.5%

41.4%3-Point Rate29.5%

2.43Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.