Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Stetson

74.2%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -288

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 77

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreBellarmine 85

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricBellarmine

40MMH Power Index44.9

107.2Offensive Efficiency119.6

115.9Defensive Efficiency122.1

-8.7Net Efficiency-2.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-2.8

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.7Tempo66.9

53.8%Effective FG%60.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

33.6%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-6.0Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–40.0), offensive efficiency (119.6–107.2), net efficiency (-2.5–-8.7), recent form (0.3–-2.9).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (115.9–122.1), strength of schedule (-1.0–-2.8), offensive rebounding (28.1–22.7).

Final

Stetson

84—77

Bellarmine

Stetson by 7 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATBellarmine

31-60FG31-61

52.0%FG%51.0%

12-293PT11-28

41.0%3PT%39.0%

10-16FT4-6

63.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists22

6Turnovers3

1Steals4

—Blocks—

7Fouls14

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	39	9-18	8-14	0-0	2	2	0	26
Josh Smith	F	33	8-12	1-2	2-2	11	2	1	19
Aubin Gateretse	Center	31	7-9	0-0	3-5	8	2	0	17
Stephan Swenson	Guard	31	5-13	2-7	1-2	6	5	0	13
Alec Oglesby	G	40	2-6	1-4	3-5	9	1	0	8
Treyton Thompson	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Tristan Gross	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cyncier Harrison	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ben Johnson	G	33	11-22	6-15	0-0	4	0	1	28
Bash Wieland	Guard	34	8-13	1-3	0-0	4	6	0	17
Peter Suder	G	34	4-7	2-5	0-0	5	7	0	10
Langdon Hatton	Center	27	3-5	0-1	4-6	7	1	0	10
Billy Smith	G	9	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	4
Garrett Tipton	Guard	31	1-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	3
Landin Hacker	Guard	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	3
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	5	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

132.7Offensive Efficiency121.6

121.6Defensive Efficiency132.7

11.1Net Efficiency-11.1

61.7%Effective FG%59.8%

62.1%True Shooting %60.3%

9.4%Turnover Rate4.8%

26.7%Free Throw Rate9.8%

48.3%3-Point Rate45.9%

2.33Assist / Turnover7.33

Game Summary

Stetson won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.