Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.0%Louisville

24.0%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -317

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 81

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricSyracuse

67.1MMH Power Index52.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.6

16.4Net Efficiency2.6

6.0Strength of Schedule5.6

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

71.0Tempo69.0

56.9%Effective FG%52.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.2%

11.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.6), net efficiency (16.4–2.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.8), free throw rate (36.2–34.1).

Final

Louisville

92—94

Syracuse

Syracuse by 2 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATSyracuse

35-65FG31-51

54.0%FG%61.0%

11-253PT10-22

44.0%3PT%45.0%

11-15FT22-33

73.0%FT%67.0%

40Rebounds21

14Offensive Rebounds2

15Assists20

17Turnovers10

6Steals11

2Blocks7

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Skyy Clark	G	31	8-14	4-8	3-3	1	5	3	0	23
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	37	7-13	3-4	2-2	13	1	0	1	19
Tre White	G	37	8-12	0-2	1-1	12	2	0	1	17
Mike James	G	30	4-8	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	12
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	21	3-6	1-2	2-3	3	6	1	0	9
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	26	3-9	1-6	1-2	2	0	2	0	8
Kaleb Glenn	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Zan Payne	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	33	11-15	8-10	0-0	6	1	0	1	30
Judah Mintz	Guard	30	6-12	0-2	9-15	2	4	2	0	21
J.J. Starling	G	40	6-13	2-9	5-5	0	2	1	0	19
Maliq Brown	F	38	4-4	0-0	3-4	9	5	5	6	11
Quadir Copeland	G	30	3-6	0-1	5-9	2	7	3	0	11
Justin Taylor	G	24	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Peter Carey	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

122.8Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency122.8

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

62.3%Effective FG%70.6%

63.8%True Shooting %70.5%

22.6%Turnover Rate13.4%

23.1%Free Throw Rate64.7%

38.5%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.