Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%Valparaiso

47.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -111

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricIndiana State

49.9MMH Power Index44.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.8Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo70.3

48.7%Effective FG%53.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

61—101

Indiana State

Indiana State by 40 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATIndiana State

25-73FG38-62

34.0%FG%61.0%

5-263PT9-24

19.0%3PT%38.0%

6-9FT16-20

67.0%FT%80.0%

28Rebounds49

10Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists22

11Turnovers13

6Steals7

3Blocks—

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	36	8-16	0-5	1-1	5	1	0	0	17
Kaspar Sepp	F	28	5-8	2-4	3-6	4	1	0	1	15
Jahari Williamson	G	28	5-11	1-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	13
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	18	2-9	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Jaxon Edwards	G	23	2-8	0-2	0-0	9	2	0	1	4
Anthony Sciarroni	Guard	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	26	1-9	0-2	0-0	1	2	4	0	2
Ola Ajiboye	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Stafford	G	26	0-8	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Jerome Palm	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joe Vick	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	21	10-12	1-2	6-7	8	2	0	27
Ryan Conwell	G	30	5-9	0-3	2-2	2	4	0	12
Julian Larry	Guard	27	4-6	1-2	3-4	5	9	2	12
Isaiah Swope	Guard	28	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	2	1	10
Xavier Bledson	Guard	14	4-8	2-4	0-0	7	2	0	10
Jayson Kent	Forward	24	4-5	0-1	1-1	6	1	2	9
Jake Wolfe	Guard	11	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	6
Eli Shetlar	G	8	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	6
Derek Vorst	C	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	4
Masen Miller	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Aaron Gray	Forward	16	0-4	0-2	2-3	5	0	0	2
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

78.8Offensive Efficiency130.5

130.5Defensive Efficiency78.8

-51.7Net Efficiency51.7

37.7%Effective FG%68.5%

39.5%True Shooting %70.6%

14.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

12.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

35.6%3-Point Rate38.7%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.69

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.