Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Villanova

35.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -181

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 80

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreXavier 76

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricXavier

59.4MMH Power Index49.5

114.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

67.3Tempo71.7

53.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate28.9%

5.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Villanova

53—56

Xavier

Xavier by 3 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATXavier

19-56FG21-61

34.0%FG%34.0%

6-213PT6-27

29.0%3PT%22.0%

9-10FT8-12

90.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists17

9Turnovers8

4Steals6

3Blocks7

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brendan Hausen	G	20	4-8	3-5	4-5	3	0	0	0	15
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	5-15	1-5	2-2	4	0	1	0	13
Hakim Hart	Guard	24	3-5	0-2	1-1	5	2	2	1	7
TJ Bamba	Guard	28	3-7	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	1	6
Tyler Burton	Forward	21	2-5	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Mark Armstrong	Guard	28	1-8	0-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	4
Justin Moore	Guard	22	1-6	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	3
Lance Ware	Forward	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jordan Longino	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Olivari	Guard	39	4-10	3-8	3-5	8	0	1	0	14
Desmond Claude	G	38	5-14	1-7	0-0	6	6	1	0	11
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	37	4-13	1-4	0-0	2	7	1	0	9
Dailyn Swain	G	18	3-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	2	1	8
Sasa Ciani	F	9	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Abou Ousmane	Forward	31	1-7	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	5	3
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	20	1-6	0-4	1-2	4	0	1	0	3
Trey Green	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Lazar Djokovic	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

86.5Offensive Efficiency91.4

91.4Defensive Efficiency86.5

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

39.3%Effective FG%39.3%

43.6%True Shooting %42.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

17.9%Free Throw Rate19.7%

37.5%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.22Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Xavier won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.