Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Missouri State

83.4%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -502

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 64

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricNorthern Iowa

51.1MMH Power Index61

110.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency96.4

2.1Net Efficiency12.0

0.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

67.9Tempo64.1

51.8%Effective FG%54.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

42.9%Free Throw Rate26.2%

1.4Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–51.1), defensive efficiency (96.4–108.4), net efficiency (12.0–2.1), strength of schedule (2.2–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.4), offensive rebounding (33.0–21.9), free throw rate (42.9–26.2).

Final

Missouri State

65—72

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 7 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

21-50FG24-59

42.0%FG%41.0%

6-153PT9-25

40.0%3PT%36.0%

17-20FT15-23

85.0%FT%65.0%

39Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists15

13Turnovers5

5Steals9

2Blocks8

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	37	6-12	3-5	4-6	2	3	1	0	19
NJ Benson	F	17	3-3	0-0	4-4	8	0	1	0	10
Matthew Lee	Guard	11	2-7	0-2	6-6	0	0	0	0	10
Cesare Edwards	Center	24	4-7	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	9
Donovan Clay	Guard	40	3-12	1-3	0-0	10	3	0	0	7
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	19	1-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Raphe Ayres	Guard	33	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Chance Moore	G	19	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	2	3

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Heise	G	38	5-12	3-6	4-6	5	1	0	1	17
Jacob Hutson	Center	25	5-6	0-0	4-5	8	2	2	3	14
Bowen Born	Guard	30	3-15	2-8	2-3	4	4	1	0	10
Trey Campbell	G	34	3-9	2-6	1-2	0	2	1	1	9
Tytan Anderson	Guard	29	2-6	1-3	2-2	7	3	1	2	7
Kyle Pock	F	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	3	0	5
Michael Duax	F	14	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	1	1	0	4
Cole Henry	Forward	13	2-3	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	1	4
RJ Taylor	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency101.2

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

48.0%Effective FG%48.3%

54.6%True Shooting %51.5%

20.5%Turnover Rate7.7%

40.0%Free Throw Rate39.0%

30.0%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.62Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.