UIC

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%UIC

56.0%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 71

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

UICMetricIllinois State

56.7MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.2Net Efficiency9.2

0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

9.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.3Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%54.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

4.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.2), strength of schedule (1.0–0.1).

UIC COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.7–54.3), recent form (9.2–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–28.3).

Final

UIC

61—56

Illinois State

UIC by 5 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UICTEAM STATIllinois State

23-54FG18-52

43.0%FG%35.0%

6-153PT5-16

40.0%3PT%31.0%

9-11FT15-19

82.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists14

15Turnovers11

7Steals8

3Blocks3

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Jones	G	35	5-15	1-1	2-2	5	3	1	0	13
Isaiah Rivera	Guard	30	4-10	2-4	1-1	3	2	1	0	11
Toby Okani	Guard	29	3-9	0-3	3-4	11	0	1	2	9
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	33	3-6	2-4	0-1	6	1	0	0	8
Ethan Pickett	G	25	3-5	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	0	8
Marquise Kennedy	Guard	21	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	2	0	5
Nathan Ojukwu	F	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Steven Clay	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cameron Fens	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Foster	Forward	33	5-11	0-0	8-9	10	1	0	2	18
Kendall Lewis	Forward	36	6-8	0-1	3-4	10	2	1	0	15
Dalton Banks	Guard	34	4-12	2-4	3-4	3	4	2	0	13
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	31	1-8	1-4	1-2	2	1	2	0	4
Johnny Kinziger	G	36	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	5	2	0	3
Luke Kasubke	Guard	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Chase Walker	F	6	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ty Pence	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

98.2Offensive Efficiency90.2

90.2Defensive Efficiency98.2

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

48.1%Effective FG%39.4%

51.5%True Shooting %45.9%

24.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

20.4%Free Throw Rate36.5%

27.8%3-Point Rate30.8%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

UIC won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.