Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Southern Illinois

40.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -150

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreDrake 73

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricDrake

54.6MMH Power Index46.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency109.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency109.1

4.9Net Efficiency0.4

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

70.6Tempo68.6

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

3.4Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–46.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.1), net efficiency (4.9–0.4), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5), ball security (14.9–17.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

88—92

Drake

Drake by 4 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATDrake

29-68FG29-51

43.0%FG%57.0%

10-363PT2-10

28.0%3PT%20.0%

20-22FT32-40

91.0%FT%80.0%

35Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists6

11Turnovers11

5Steals7

2Blocks1

28Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	45	14-28	3-10	4-4	2	5	3	0	35
Trent Brown	Guard	37	4-9	4-9	1-2	1	0	0	0	13
Troy D'Amico	Forward	41	2-8	1-7	7-7	4	6	0	0	12
Scottie Ebube	C	12	4-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	9
Clarence Rupert	Forward	30	3-6	0-1	0-0	11	2	1	2	6
AJ Ferguson	Guard	21	1-4	1-2	3-3	1	1	0	0	6
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	25	1-5	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	14	0-4	0-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	2

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tucker DeVries	F	43	7-17	0-5	13-15	5	1	2	1	27
Darnell Brodie	Forward	30	6-7	0-0	6-9	8	1	1	0	18
Atin Wright	Guard	40	5-7	0-0	5-7	3	3	2	0	15
Kyron Gibson	Guard	38	4-9	2-3	2-2	2	0	2	0	12
Kevin Overton	G	39	3-7	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Carlos Rosario	Forward	20	2-2	0-0	3-3	5	1	0	0	7
Nate Ferguson	Forward	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	5
Eric Northweather	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

114.6Offensive Efficiency119.8

119.8Defensive Efficiency114.6

-5.2Net Efficiency5.2

50.0%Effective FG%58.8%

56.1%True Shooting %65.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.4%Free Throw Rate78.4%

52.9%3-Point Rate19.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

Drake won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.