Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%Murray State

80.6%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -415

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 77

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 88

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricBelmont

53.6MMH Power Index61.8

115.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.0Net Efficiency14.9

3.5Strength of Schedule-0.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.3Tempo70.7

54.0%Effective FG%60.7%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate32.7%

2.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Murray State

64—69

Belmont

Belmont by 5 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATBelmont

22-61FG24-56

36.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PT8-29

26.0%3PT%28.0%

14-19FT13-16

74.0%FT%81.0%

37Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists14

12Turnovers12

9Steals7

—Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quincy Anderson	Guard	34	6-13	4-8	5-7	9	3	1	21
Nick Ellington	F	19	5-12	0-0	1-3	5	0	0	11
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	2-8	0-3	5-5	6	7	3	9
Rob Perry	Guard	36	3-12	0-4	3-4	5	4	3	9
Malek Abdelgowad	F	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	8
Justin Morgan	Guard	27	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	3
Alden Applewhite	F	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	3
Brian Moore Jr.	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	35	9-12	1-4	5-5	8	5	2	0	24
Malik Dia	F	26	6-12	1-2	2-2	5	0	0	2	15
Cade Tyson	G	33	5-10	3-6	0-0	9	3	1	1	13
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	33	2-10	2-8	1-1	3	3	1	0	7
Isaiah Walker	G	21	1-4	1-3	3-6	3	1	0	0	6
Jayce Willingham	Guard	34	1-7	0-5	2-2	5	2	2	0	4
Brigham Rogers	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Jake Dykstra	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

93.7Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency93.7

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

41.0%Effective FG%50.0%

45.7%True Shooting %54.2%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

37.7%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Belmont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.