Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Georgia Southern

68.3%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -215

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 81

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricSouth Alabama

49.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

72.0Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

1.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.6), net efficiency (6.4–1.7), recent form (3.4–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.6–24.9).

Final

Georgia Southern

65—78

South Alabama

South Alabama by 13 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATSouth Alabama

21-52FG20-41

40.0%FG%49.0%

5-243PT7-19

21.0%3PT%37.0%

18-20FT31-37

90.0%FT%84.0%

23Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists8

14Turnovers19

10Steals8

3Blocks5

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrick Harris Jr.	Guard	27	6-13	0-4	3-3	3	0	1	0	15
Nate Brafford	F	25	4-6	3-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	13
Avantae Parker	F	36	4-7	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	2	9
Eugene Brown III	Forward	27	2-7	0-3	5-6	2	1	3	1	9
Malik Tidwell	Guard	20	2-4	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Eren Banks	G	28	1-9	1-7	2-2	4	2	1	0	5
Tyren Moore	G	10	1-2	0-1	3-4	0	2	4	0	5
Cam Bryant	Forward	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jamar Franklin	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Collin Kuhl	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samuel Tabe	Guard	39	5-9	0-0	10-11	7	2	2	0	20
Marcus Millender	G	38	4-10	1-3	6-7	3	4	1	0	15
Julian Margrave	F	18	5-8	5-8	0-0	4	0	1	1	15
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	31	1-2	0-0	9-10	2	1	2	0	11
Tyrell Jones	Guard	21	3-4	1-2	1-2	4	0	2	1	8
Thomas Howell	Forward	29	1-3	0-2	3-5	4	0	0	3	5
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Judah Brown	Forward	9	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

92.7Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency92.7

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

45.2%Effective FG%57.3%

52.8%True Shooting %66.6%

20.4%Turnover Rate26.5%

38.5%Free Throw Rate90.2%

46.2%3-Point Rate46.3%

0.57Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.