USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%USC

80.6%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -415

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 74

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 83

Team Comparison

USCMetricCalifornia

48.3MMH Power Index56.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency111.8

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

0.9Net Efficiency7.0

2.5Strength of Schedule2.8

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

72.4Tempo69.9

50.7%Effective FG%52.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

45.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.7Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), net efficiency (7.0–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–26.6), free throw rate (45.3–36.8).

Final

USC

77—83

California

California by 6 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATCalifornia

28-64FG29-70

44.0%FG%41.0%

6-153PT11-26

40.0%3PT%42.0%

15-24FT14-16

63.0%FT%88.0%

27Rebounds54

5Offensive Rebounds19

16Assists18

6Turnovers14

5Steals3

9Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Collier	Guard	27	4-13	0-1	12-16	3	3	2	0	20
DJ Rodman	Forward	30	7-9	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	17
Boogie Ellis	Guard	36	3-9	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	1	8
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	16	4-7	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2	8
Kobe Johnson	Guard	30	3-5	1-1	0-2	2	3	2	1	7
Joshua Morgan	Forward	23	3-10	0-0	0-0	2	4	1	4	6
Bronny James	Guard	28	1-5	1-5	2-4	5	1	0	0	5
Kijani Wright	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Arrinten Page	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Oziyah Sellers	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harrison Hornery	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	39	10-15	4-5	3-3	11	3	0	0	27
Jalen Cone	Guard	40	6-9	5-7	3-3	1	4	0	0	20
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	43	7-25	0-2	1-2	20	5	1	3	15
Jalen Celestine	G	36	3-9	2-6	3-4	8	2	0	0	11
Grant Newell	F	17	2-6	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	37	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	4
Rodney Brown	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Gus Larson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

103.4Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency103.4

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

48.4%Effective FG%49.3%

51.1%True Shooting %53.5%

7.9%Turnover Rate19.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate22.9%

23.4%3-Point Rate37.1%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

California won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.