William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%William & Mary

58.2%Monmouth

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMonmouth -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMonmouth -139

Monmouth

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 76

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMonmouth 79

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricMonmouth

53.8MMH Power Index52.2

112.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

7.3Net Efficiency2.6

-1.5Strength of Schedule0.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

73.9Tempo68.3

55.3%Effective FG%49.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate33.6%

5.4Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–52.2), offensive efficiency (112.5–106.4), net efficiency (7.3–2.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–49.9).

Monmouth COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.8–105.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-1.5), recent form (7.0–3.5).

Final

William & Mary

64—68

Monmouth

Monmouth by 4 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATMonmouth

20-61FG24-55

33.0%FG%44.0%

9-283PT7-19

32.0%3PT%37.0%

15-19FT13-21

79.0%FT%62.0%

43Rebounds37

19Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists12

13Turnovers10

3Steals6

2Blocks11

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Moss	G	34	6-12	4-8	4-4	2	0	0	0	20
Chase Lowe	G	34	6-16	0-0	5-7	16	5	0	0	17
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	34	3-10	3-10	4-4	4	1	0	0	13
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	25	1-6	1-6	2-2	7	3	0	0	5
Tai Hamilton	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-2	5	0	1	2	4
Charlie Williams	C	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Matteus Case	Guard	32	1-11	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Miles Hicks	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jayden Lemond	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Monmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Collins	G	37	5-10	3-7	2-2	7	0	1	0	15
Cornelius Robinson III	F	21	4-7	0-1	4-5	5	1	1	1	12
Jaret Valencia	F	30	4-8	0-1	3-6	4	1	0	6	11
Jakari Spence	Guard	27	4-8	0-0	2-6	3	1	0	0	10
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	19	3-7	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Xander Rice	Guard	34	2-9	1-4	2-2	6	7	3	0	7
Jack Holmstrom	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Klemen Vuga	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Nikita Konstantynovskyi	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Jayden Doyle	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

100.8Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.8

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

40.2%Effective FG%50.0%

45.7%True Shooting %52.3%

20.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.1%Free Throw Rate38.2%

45.9%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Monmouth won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.