Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Central Arkansas

34.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -192

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 78

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreJacksonville 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricJacksonville

54MMH Power Index43.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency109.8

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

8.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-4.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

71.0Tempo66.6

54.3%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

6.1Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.8), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–29.6), free throw rate (33.9–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

55—59

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 4 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATJacksonville

17-49FG22-57

35.0%FG%39.0%

4-173PT6-20

24.0%3PT%30.0%

17-21FT9-13

81.0%FT%69.0%

30Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists8

12Turnovers8

5Steals5

6Blocks2

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javion Guy-King	G	27	4-11	1-2	7-8	3	1	1	0	16
Tucker Anderson	F	36	4-9	1-4	3-3	3	2	0	1	12
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	31	2-5	0-0	5-6	8	1	0	2	9
Masai Olowokere	Guard	30	2-7	0-2	2-2	8	1	4	0	6
Daniel Sofield	Guard	20	2-6	1-3	0-2	1	0	0	0	5
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	17	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Elias Cato	Forward	31	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	3	2
Caleb Carr	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	37	7-15	4-9	4-6	6	3	1	1	22
Bryce Workman	Forward	25	4-9	0-1	2-2	6	1	1	0	10
Gyasi Powell	Guard	33	4-10	1-6	0-1	3	3	1	0	9
Stephon Payne	F	32	4-8	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Zach Bell	G	20	2-7	1-2	2-2	5	0	0	0	7
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	1	3
Jarius Cook	Guard	25	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Donovan Rivers	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jalen Griffith	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

85.1Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency85.1

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

38.8%Effective FG%43.9%

46.6%True Shooting %46.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate12.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate22.8%

34.7%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.