Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Arizona State

66.8%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -201

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 78

Projected Total161.1

Projected ScoreColorado 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricColorado

51MMH Power Index52.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency112.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

-2.8Net Efficiency0.5

7.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

70.6Tempo71.0

51.3%Effective FG%53.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-1.9Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (112.9–108.1), net efficiency (0.5–-2.8), shooting efficiency (53.0–51.3).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.9–112.4), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1), recent form (-7.5–-7.7).

Final

Arizona State

70—82

Colorado

Colorado by 12 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATColorado

27-61FG24-51

44.0%FG%47.0%

7-223PT8-20

32.0%3PT%40.0%

9-14FT26-29

64.0%FT%90.0%

29Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists13

9Turnovers13

8Steals7

2Blocks1

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Collins	G	28	8-14	0-3	2-4	4	2	1	0	18
Adam Miller	G	27	5-7	2-3	2-4	1	0	0	0	14
Jamiya Neal	Guard	36	3-11	2-8	4-4	5	4	3	0	12
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	17	5-8	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	10
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	25	2-6	2-5	0-0	6	2	1	1	6
Kamari Lands	G	19	1-3	1-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	4
Bryant Selebangue	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Jose Perez	Guard	30	1-9	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	2
Akil Watson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braelon Green	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J'Vonne Hadley	G	36	5-8	2-2	7-7	11	1	2	0	19
KJ Simpson	Guard	35	5-14	2-7	5-6	6	8	0	0	17
Tristan da Silva	Forward	34	4-9	2-4	5-5	4	0	1	0	15
Cody Williams	Forward	33	4-9	1-4	2-2	3	3	1	1	11
Julian Hammond III	Guard	22	3-6	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	29	3-4	0-0	2-4	5	1	3	0	8
Javon Ruffin	G	2	0-0	0-0	3-3	0	0	0	0	3
Assane Diop	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bangot Dak	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

97.5Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency97.5

-16.7Net Efficiency16.7

50.0%Effective FG%54.9%

51.7%True Shooting %63.3%

12.6%Turnover Rate18.1%

23.0%Free Throw Rate56.9%

36.1%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Colorado won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.