Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Tarleton State

89.3%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -835

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 67

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 82

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUtah Valley

44.6MMH Power Index59.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.6Net Efficiency16.1

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

72.2Tempo70.6

49.0%Effective FG%56.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Tarleton State

72—61

Utah Valley

Tarleton State by 11 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUtah Valley

27-60FG21-60

45.0%FG%35.0%

8-153PT4-19

53.0%3PT%21.0%

10-14FT15-20

71.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists15

13Turnovers15

11Steals2

4Blocks6

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lue Williams	Guard	37	7-15	2-3	5-6	6	3	0	0	21
Jakorie Smith	Forward	34	5-12	3-6	0-0	7	2	5	0	13
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	24	4-7	0-0	2-3	6	0	2	3	10
Devon Barnes	G	19	4-5	1-2	0-0	0	4	0	0	9
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	35	2-5	1-2	2-3	10	4	2	0	7
Adam Moussa	Guard	25	3-7	1-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	7
Traivar Jackson	F	18	2-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	5
Dario Domingos	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bubu Benjamin	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Potter	F	23	7-11	0-0	5-6	8	0	0	1	19
Jaden McClanahan	Guard	22	3-8	1-4	3-4	3	3	0	0	10
Drake Allen	G	32	3-11	0-3	2-2	5	4	1	1	8
Tanner Toolson	G	33	2-5	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Trevin Dorius	Center	26	2-7	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	4	6
Caleb Stone-Carrawell	Forward	29	2-12	1-7	0-1	5	2	0	0	5
K'mani Doughty	Guard	5	1-3	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Trevan Leonhardt	G	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Osiris Grady	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency85.8

85.8Defensive Efficiency101.3

15.5Net Efficiency-15.5

51.7%Effective FG%38.3%

54.0%True Shooting %43.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate21.0%

23.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

25.0%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.