Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%Little Rock

18.1%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -452

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 76

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricWestern Illinois

44MMH Power Index25.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency96.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

-5.2Net Efficiency-17.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

68.5Tempo67.5

50.3%Effective FG%45.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-3.6Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.9), net efficiency (-5.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.7), free throw rate (37.5–28.6).

Final

Little Rock

63—60

Western Illinois

Little Rock by 3 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATWestern Illinois

27-53FG25-63

51.0%FG%40.0%

4-123PT5-22

33.0%3PT%23.0%

5-6FT5-12

83.0%FT%42.0%

29Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds18

7Assists12

14Turnovers14

6Steals11

6Blocks6

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	34	10-16	2-6	1-1	3	2	0	1	23
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	24	2-4	0-1	3-3	2	0	0	1	7
Bradley Douglas	G	24	3-10	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	33	3-8	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	1	6
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	24	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	2	0	5
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	2

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	34	7-10	0-0	0-1	10	0	1	0	14
Drew Cisse	Center	31	6-11	0-1	1-3	8	3	4	3	13
James Dent Jr.	G	29	4-17	4-12	0-0	3	2	2	1	12
Tay Knox	C	17	3-4	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	8
JJ Kalakon	Guard	32	3-7	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	7
Jesiah West	Forward	25	2-2	0-0	0-2	2	3	2	1	4
Ryan Myers	G	32	0-12	0-6	2-2	3	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

97.2Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

54.7%Effective FG%43.7%

56.4%True Shooting %43.7%

21.6%Turnover Rate21.6%

11.3%Free Throw Rate19.0%

22.6%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.