Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Cal State Fullerton

59.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -149

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Davis

49.4MMH Power Index48.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

1.7Net Efficiency3.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.9

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

76.3Tempo72.4

52.6%Effective FG%52.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.5%

1.3Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

58—71

UC Davis

UC Davis by 13 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Davis

21-59FG27-47

36.0%FG%57.0%

3-173PT5-17

18.0%3PT%29.0%

13-22FT12-17

59.0%FT%71.0%

27Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds6

5Assists17

13Turnovers22

11Steals8

5Blocks4

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Mikey Square	Not Available	22	7-8	0-0	5-7	3	0	2	1	19
Max Jones	Guard	22	3-11	2-5	0-1	0	1	2	0	8
DJ Brewton	Guard	32	3-14	0-3	0-1	6	1	1	1	6
Donovan Oday	G	13	0-3	0-1	5-8	1	0	2	1	5
Antwan Robinson	Guard	13	2-6	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jalen Cooper	F	13	1-2	0-0	1-3	2	0	0	0	3
Beril Kabamba	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Vincent Lee	Forward	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Zachary Visentin	Center	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Grayson Carper	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	30	6-12	3-7	4-4	5	4	4	0	19
TY Johnson	Guard	30	7-9	0-1	3-4	2	3	1	0	17
Kane Milling	Guard	29	4-6	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	2	9
Pablo Tamba	F	19	4-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	9
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	18	2-3	0-0	2-3	5	2	0	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	19	1-1	0-0	3-6	5	2	1	0	5
Francesco Borra	Forward	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	1	4
Sione Lose	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ade Adebayo	Forward	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Jac Mani	F	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Manu	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Drew Carter	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Connor Sevilla	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

81.3Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency81.3

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

38.1%Effective FG%62.8%

41.8%True Shooting %64.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate31.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

28.8%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.