Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Sacramento State

69.7%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -230

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreIdaho State 83

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho State

43MMH Power Index45.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency113.4

-5.9Net Efficiency-2.4

0.9Strength of Schedule0.2

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

73.2Tempo67.1

48.5%Effective FG%52.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-4.3Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.1), net efficiency (-2.4–-5.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.5).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.0–113.4), strength of schedule (0.9–0.2), recent form (-7.8–-9.6).

Final

Sacramento State

40—68

Idaho State

Idaho State by 28 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho State

16-54FG28-52

30.0%FG%54.0%

4-173PT8-19

24.0%3PT%42.0%

4-5FT4-8

80.0%FT%50.0%

25Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists18

13Turnovers4

3Steals5

1Blocks5

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bowyn Beatty	F	26	3-7	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	7
Alex Kovatchev	G	31	2-9	0-3	2-2	5	2	1	0	6
Duncan Powell	F	17	3-12	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Zee Hamoda	G	29	2-9	1-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Emil Skytt	G	24	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Michael Wilson	G	12	2-4	1-2	0-1	1	0	0	1	5
Austin Patterson	Guard	26	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Bailey Nunn	G	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jacob Holt	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	31	9-13	0-1	2-2	5	0	1	2	20
Maleek Arington	G	36	4-7	4-4	1-2	2	8	4	0	13
Miguel Tomley	Guard	27	5-11	3-8	0-0	5	2	0	0	13
Isaiah Griffin	F	30	4-6	0-0	1-2	4	5	0	0	9
Kiree Huie	F	27	4-7	0-0	0-1	6	1	0	2	8
James Bodily	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
AJ Burgin	Guard	22	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jordan Hansen	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Trent Johnson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Turner Livingston	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

68.3Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency68.3

-47.8Net Efficiency47.8

33.3%Effective FG%61.5%

35.5%True Shooting %60.9%

20.8%Turnover Rate7.3%

9.3%Free Throw Rate15.4%

31.5%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.69Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.