Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Cal Poly

71.1%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL169.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -246

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total169.7

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 89

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCal State Northridge

46.5MMH Power Index50

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

-3.8Net Efficiency2.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.6Tempo75.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-2.9Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.0), net efficiency (2.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-0.6), recent form (2.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Final

Cal Poly

65—78

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 13 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCal State Northridge

21-56FG30-57

38.0%FG%53.0%

10-303PT2-9

33.0%3PT%22.0%

13-19FT16-22

68.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists18

19Turnovers19

10Steals12

4Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	21	5-6	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	12
Kobe Sanders	Guard	38	2-10	2-7	4-5	5	8	1	0	10
Joel Armotrading	C	19	4-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	2	9
Quentin Jones	G	19	2-6	2-2	2-4	2	1	2	0	8
Justin Page	G	19	3-5	2-3	0-1	2	1	1	1	8
Aidan Prukop	Guard	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Jarred Hyder	Guard	31	1-12	1-9	2-2	0	4	1	1	5
Paul Bizimana	Forward	26	1-5	1-3	2-2	3	1	2	0	5
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Hayden Jory	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dionte Bostick	Guard	39	9-12	0-2	5-7	5	1	5	0	23
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	36	7-14	0-1	4-5	5	6	1	0	18
Gianni Hunt	G	31	6-9	1-3	0-0	6	8	2	0	13
Keonte Jones	G	33	2-5	0-1	6-6	10	1	1	2	10
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	2-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	1	0	4
Jared Barnett	Guard	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Bryan Ndjonga	F	9	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jasman Sangha	Forward	6	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Kyle Frelow	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Dearon Tucker	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

83.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency83.0

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

46.4%Effective FG%54.4%

50.0%True Shooting %57.8%

24.4%Turnover Rate24.2%

33.9%Free Throw Rate38.6%

53.6%3-Point Rate15.8%

0.84Assist / Turnover0.95

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.