Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Vermont

76.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -326

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 66

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 74

Team Comparison

VermontMetricUMBC

53.1MMH Power Index59.1

112.2Offensive Efficiency113.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

7.5Net Efficiency14.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.4Tempo65.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

32.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

Vermont

72—70

UMBC

Vermont by 2 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATUMBC

27-68FG28-58

40.0%FG%48.0%

6-303PT8-16

20.0%3PT%50.0%

12-14FT6-9

86.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists11

7Turnovers7

5Steals4

3Blocks5

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shamir Bogues	Guard	26	10-14	2-3	1-2	2	2	1	1	23
TJ Hurley	G	28	4-10	1-5	2-2	5	0	0	0	11
TJ Long	G	32	2-8	2-7	1-2	11	1	1	1	7
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	18	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Jace Roquemore	Guard	27	2-6	0-3	2-2	7	0	2	0	6
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	19	3-9	0-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	6
Sam Alamutu	G	12	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Aaron Deloney	Guard	18	1-7	0-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	4
Matt Veretto	Forward	18	1-6	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Brenton Mills	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	39	10-18	3-4	2-2	6	3	0	1	25
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	36	7-15	1-6	1-2	3	2	2	0	16
Franck Emmou	G	22	4-8	4-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	34	4-10	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	4	9
Regimantas Ciunys	F	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	6
Ace Valentine	G	35	1-5	0-1	0-1	5	2	2	0	2
Ashton Reese	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Marlon Short	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Devan Sapp	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

108.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency108.3

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

44.1%Effective FG%55.2%

48.2%True Shooting %56.2%

10.3%Turnover Rate10.7%

20.6%Free Throw Rate15.5%

44.1%3-Point Rate27.6%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Vermont won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.